AmeriVet Weekly Muni Snapshot

Municipal New Issuance: The negotiated calendar for this past week totaled to just over $5.3 billion with the largest deal being the $1.1 billion New Jersey Transportation Trust issuance. The next largest deal of the week was the $495 million Los Angeles Water and Power Authority issue. With yields rising once again this week, we did see a few issuers postpone their deals until a debt deal is finalized. Municipal Secondary Trading: With an early close on Friday, trading for the week totaled to roughly $32.87 for the week with 55% being dealer sells. According to Bloomberg, clients put up $5.38 billion up for the bid, down slightly from the prior week when clients put up $5.44 billion in bids-wanted. |
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Municipal Spreads: For the second straight week, yields rose sharply as there are continued concerns regarding passing legislation on increasing the debt ceiling. Yields on 10-year notes rose by 14.6 basis points this past week to finish the week at 2.68%. Since the beginning of the month of May, muni yields have risen an average of 30.2 basis points. With the rise in yields, muni ratios did rise as 10-year notes are now yielding 70.68% of Treasuries compared to 69.11% from the prior week. The muni curve steepened slightly this past week by 0.3 basis points to end the week at 64 basis points. |
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According to Refinitiv Lipper US Fund Flows data, investors pulled roughly $847 million from muni bond funds. This follows the prior week’s outflow of $187 million and marks the 15th consecutive week of outflows. We should expect to see outflows continue until we start to see some stability in the muni market. |
With muni yields sliding as much as 15 basis points this past week, munis have lost roughly 1.38% for the month bringing year-to-date returns of just 1.13%. Munis are on pace for their worst May since 1986. This negative return for munis is somewhat significant as the month of May is usually a positive month for munis. The month of May has only had two negative returns in the last 10 years, a loss of 1.3% in 2013 and a loss of 0.3% in 2015. With muni yields trending higher, we are starting to see ratios move closer to their 10-year average. However, they are still too rich to start moving to the front end. |
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Municipal Supply: With the markets closed on Monday in honor of Memorial Day, the negotiated calendar will have an expected volume of $5.9 billion, with the largest deal being the $1.4 billion New York City General Obligation issue which AmeriVet will be participating in the Selling-Group. The State of Connecticut will be issuing $710 million in taxable and tax-exempt bonds which AmeriVet will participate as a Co-Manager. In addition, AmeriVet will also be participating as a Co-Manager on the $104 million New Jersey Housing and Mortgage Finance Agency issuance. AmeriVet will also be participating in the Selling Group for the $106 million South Carolina State Housing Finance and Development Authority issuance. |
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